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The Marketleap Report
Vol. 1 - Issue #2 - March
23, 2001
Planning and Tracking - Madness
and the Light Ahead
By Keith Boswell
Hunger for information and sports
fever left the web servers exhausted from the load.
ESPN.com struggled to keep pace with the requests.
College basketball fans expected to find the usual
depth of analysis and statistics that made ESPN one
of the leading sports information brands.
Instead, during the kickoff of the
NCAA Basketball tournament last week, ESPN.com web
site visitors connected a mere 49.7% of the time.
If you could get the page to load, it took about 7.3
seconds to connect according to web measurement company
Keynote Systems.
How could an online leader in sports
information not be prepared for its audience? Presumably
it has traffic data and usage statistics going back
to at least 1996. They have played host to expanded
college basketball tournament coverage through their
web site at least five times. In the offline world
they have been tracking television ratings since their
inception. Advertising rates depend on it!
ESPN.com is reporting that it received
about 62 million page views last Thursday. According
to the stats, that means they also missed about 62
million page views. Ad revenue was lost and frustrated
visitors went elsewhere.
| Internet
Connection Speeds
Dec. 99 vs. Dec.
00
U.S. Home Users |
| Speed |
Users
(000) |
Comp
% |
%
Change |
| Modem 14.4K |
4,842 |
5.0% |
-20.4% |
| Modem 28.8/33.6K |
22,960 |
23.6% |
-27.3% |
| Modem 56K |
57,898 |
59.4% |
87.3% |
| High Speed* |
11,705 |
12.0% |
147.7% |
|
* Includes
ISDN, LAN, cable modems and DSL; Source: Nielsen//NetRatings
|
Average
Web Usage
Week end of March 18,
2001, U.S. |
| Number
of Sessions per Week |
6 |
| Number
of Unique Sites Visited |
6 |
| Time
Spent per Site |
0:34:
03 |
| Time
Spent per Week |
3:
12: 38 |
| Time
Spent During Surfing Session |
0:31:
10 |
| Duration
of a Page viewed |
00:
55 |
| Active
Internet Universe |
74,464,168 |
| Current
Internet Universe Estimate |
166,736,885 |
|
The reported Internet usage
estimates are based on a sample of households
that have access to the Internet and use the following
platforms: Windows 95/98/NT, and MacOS 8 or higher.
The Nielsen//NetRatings Internet universe is defined
as all members (2 years of age or older) of U.S.
households which currently have access to the
Internet.
Copyright 2001 NetRatings, Inc. |
From a users perspective, ESPN.com
no longer appears prepared to serve as a leader or
reliable source for up-to-date information. The Yahoo,
CBS and the NCAA sites were prepared for the surge
in traffic and maintained 99% site reliability.
Planning and tracking are essential
to doing good business on the web. Preliminary planning,
research and review are critical pieces of the web-building
process that are often discarded in the rush to succeed
online.
One of the by-products created when
web fever hit was the belief that projects should
be delivered faster. What that meant to web builders
was barely-planned web businesses looking to cash
in without ever setting up measurements for success
and evolution.
Builders were perceived as magicians,
able to conjure up web magic with little more than
poorly assembled outlines and dated Word documents.
When these online initiatives did not have the explosive
impact expected, the finger often turned to the teams
that had been contracted to help assemble the franken-sites.
In reality, online businesses have
the information they need to withstand the kind of
stress test ESPN.com just experienced. Every web site
generates a log of its traffic. Understanding site
traffic and usage provides a verifiable road map of
how a site is being used. That data should be used
to evolve a successful e-business.
When the time is taken to thoroughly
analyze the data, companies gain the benefit of testing
against their assumptions from the planning phase.
Vision and reality begin to mesh as certain patterns
emerge. Where are visitors spending time? Are certain
functions being used as much as anticipated?
The truth is web sites put all businesses
into the software cycle. In order to gain the productive
advantages that software seeks to create, businesses
must come to fully understand this. Implementation
and building are only successful when the planning,
testing and monitoring phases are done properly.
Monitoring would have helped ESPN.
Had they reviewed previous usage spikes that had occurred
around March Madness and done proper planning, their
web servers would have been available for every page
request last week. And their audience (or over 50%
of it) would not have been disappointed.
There are plenty of software packages
that analyze site usage. The best ones assist companies
in understanding how users interact with their organization.
Web sites should accumulate three to six months of
data before moving forward with new initiatives. Test
assumptions.
Site builds should always be based
on new assumptions that analyze how your site is being
used right now. Release of version 1.0, is a quick
stop on the evolutionary track towards expanded services.
Successful builds are based on audience behavior.
When does your busy season hit now?
Do you have several times of year that your resources
are at full capacity? Are you planning a big news
release? You don't need Internet smarts to understand
the web is just an extension of the entire organization.
Small businesses can notify their
service providers if they expect traffic to spike.
If you are running promotions or giveaways, consider
the possibility that it could spread well beyond the
original target audience. Talk to your providers and
give them a worst-case scenario. Just to be safe.
No other form of business gives you
the ability to chart your business's performance so
accurately. If you threw a party and invited 50 of
your friends but only prepared for 10 of them, how
dumb do you look when everyone shows up? Would you
really expect anyone to come back a little later,
while you geared up for the real party?
Your web server is throwing a party
every day. Get used to it. The parties probably won't
get smaller unless you serve up something stale, or
you're not prepared for the crowd. Know your audience
because they are your drivers. Listen and ask for
assistance, you'll get great directions and never
get caught with your web down.
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